Brelki
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.26
Advertised RTP
93.35%
EV $0.24 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.36%
371 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 371 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/brelki/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.35%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.26 | 93.35% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.25 | 97.08% | 33 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.25 | 93.48% | 33 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedAncient 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%rare 0.0%Legendary 0.1%#8847ff 13.3%uncommon 37.9%#d32ce6 0.7%#4b69ff 18.3%Rare 29.8%best hit —