Brokenfanggloves

A case on CSGORUN (gloves2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price

$69.99

Advertised RTP

95.70%

EV $66.98 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

93.80%

33 openings, odds method

Variance

0.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

44.5%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

76.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

3 openings · below min

7 days

33 openings · below min

30 days

33 openings · below min

since tracking started

33 openings · below min

-0.5%81.0%162.5%

Small sample. 33 openings and 14.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	3	79.87%±81.9	—	odds
7d	33	93.80%±24.7	—	odds
30d	33	93.80%±24.7	—	odds
All	33	93.80%±24.7	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 54 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 1,026	$737	1.1%	0	0.1	—
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 107	$371	5.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 118	$347	4.4%	1	0.5	—
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 63	$204	4.8%	0	0.9	—
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 26	$117	6.7%	1	2.1	0.48×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 13	$74.47	8.3%	5	4.0	1.24×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 11	$70.05	9.4%	5	4.8	1.03×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 11	$69.79	9.1%	0	4.7	0.00×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	12.1%	$60.79	11.0%	5	6.5	0.77×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	15.6%	$54.04	12.6%	9	8.4	1.07×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	19.6%	$46.62	13.7%	18	10.6	1.70×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	20.3%	$46.05	14.0%	10	11.0	0.91×

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/brokenfanggloves/show, 12 Nov, 04:58 UTC.