Catalana
A case on CSGORUN (chickens), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$5.46
Advertised RTP
89.66%
EV $4.90 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.29%
1,493 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,493 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/catalana/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.66%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $5.46 | 89.66% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.46 | 91.52% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 0.0%covert 0.3%#ffd700 0.0%epic 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%red 0.3%gold 0.1%violet 0.0%classified 28.1%pink 14.0%rare 1.1%restricted 5.4%mil spec 12.4%Classified 1.6%#d32ce6 3.1%uncommon 4.6%consumer 4.5%Common 8.8%#4b69ff 4.3%other 4.0%industrial 3.8%#b0c3d9 3.6%best hit $381 (69.72x)