Cz 75

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$1.49
Advertised RTP
91.57%
EV $1.36 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.91%
35 openings, sample method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
35 openings · below min
30 days
35 openings · below min
since tracking started
35 openings · below min
63.5%83.0%102.5%

Small sample. 35 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3582.91%±18.7—sample
30d3582.91%±18.7—sample
All3582.91%±18.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 35 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 1,000,000$4140.0%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 111,111$1070.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 83,333$1030.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 62,500$87.070.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 26,316$70.910.2%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 6,329$31.180.4%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 4,902$26.670.4%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,874$21.540.5%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Indigo (Factory New)weapon · consumer1 in 558$12.561.6%00.1—
CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 772$12.371.2%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 248$8.332.5%00.1—
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 135$6.373.5%00.3—
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 82$4.283.8%00.4—
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 49$3.605.4%10.7—
CZ75-Auto | Army Sheen (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 43$3.225.5%00.8—
CZ75-Auto | Framework (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 31$2.776.5%21.11.78×
CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$2.236.6%01.40.00×
CZ75-Auto | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 18$2.008.3%32.01.51×
CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blue1 in 15$1.838.7%12.30.44×
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 14$1.689.1%62.62.32×
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 12$1.599.5%12.90.35×
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 26$1.323.7%51.43.70×
CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$1.183.3%11.40.74×
CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear)weapon · gray1 in 26$0.952.7%11.40.74×
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.892.5%01.40.00×
CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.782.2%01.40.00×
CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 26$0.661.9%21.41.48×
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 26$0.581.6%01.40.00×
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.511.4%21.41.48×
CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 26$0.471.3%11.40.74×
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.411.2%11.40.74×
CZ75-Auto | Framework (Field-Tested)weapon · Common1 in 26$0.351.0%21.41.48×
CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.320.9%11.40.74×
CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.280.8%41.42.96×
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 26$0.260.7%11.40.74×
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 26$0.200.6%01.40.00×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/cz75/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.57%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC$1.4991.57%36
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$1.4994.00%36
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 12.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%mil spec 18.3%covert 0.0%classified 0.5%consumer 0.2%Rare 5.1%Consumer Grade 9.4%#87c7ff 5.7%light blue 6.5%gray 3.9%milspec 3.9%#4b69ff 19.3%Uncommon 3.9%Common 3.9%blue 3.9%industrial 3.9%best hit —