Demonslayer
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.15
Advertised RTP
93.49%
EV $1.08 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.85%
1,377 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,377 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/demonslayer/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.15 | 93.49% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.17 | 91.89% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.17 | 93.17% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%covert 0.0%covert knife 0.0%red 0.0%restricted 25.8%Legendary 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%classified 1.9%#d32ee6 0.2%Classified 0.4%violet 13.6%Mythical 7.3%blue 14.8%#8847ff 4.4%Restricted 5.8%milspec 12.4%Rare 6.2%#4b69ff 7.3%best hit —