Diesel fuel
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.46
Advertised RTP
91.97%
EV $0.42 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.64%
4,804 openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,819 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/diesel_fuel/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.46 | 91.97% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.46 | 92.95% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 0.2%covert 0.0%legendary 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%rare 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%sunny 0.0%Immortal 0.0%red 0.0%pink 0.2%Legendary 1.9%Mythical 0.1%uncommon 0.1%violet 13.8%Mil Spec Grade 0.4%#4b69ff 12.4%#8847ff 1.9%restricted 6.6%mil spec 2.9%milspec 7.2%Rare 16.2%#5e98d9 8.2%other 9.5%industrial 9.3%Uncommon 9.0%best hit —