Double
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$6.65
Advertised RTP
93.88%
EV $6.24 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.91%
145 openings, odds method
Variance
4.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 145 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/double/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $6.65 | 93.88% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $6.78 | 92.08% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.78 | 94.06% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%legendary 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.0%sunny 0.0%classified 28.2%#d32ee6 2.4%restricted 2.6%Legendary 7.8%Mythical 3.5%uncommon 4.3%violet 13.7%#8847ff 4.3%Uncommon 7.2%#4b69ff 9.9%Rare 3.6%milspec 9.6%blue 2.6%best hit —