Evelone 192

A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$32.99
Advertised RTP
90.38%
EV $29.82 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.71%
172 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
42 openings · below min
7 days
89.78%±14.69156 openings
30 days
90.71%±14.01172 openings
since tracking started
90.71%±14.01172 openings
59.5%88.3%117.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4288.29%±28.3—odds
7d15689.78%±14.7−0.1σodds
30d17290.71%±14.0+0.0σodds
All17290.71%±14.0+0.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 172 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 250,000$1,2840.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 200,000$1,2530.0%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 166,667$1,1130.0%00.0—
★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 35,714$7610.1%00.0—
AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 18,868$6400.1%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 7,246$4680.2%00.0—
AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 4,425$3660.3%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Field-Tested)gloves · rare1 in 1,326$2610.7%00.1—
SG 553 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 600$1811.0%00.3—
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 329$1541.6%00.5—
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd7001 in 241$1442.0%10.7—
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 229$1412.1%20.8—
★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Field-Tested)gloves · epic1 in 193$1382.4%00.9—
AWP | LongDog (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare1 in 223$1312.0%10.8—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 156$1112.4%21.11.81×
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 147$1052.4%21.21.70×
MP9 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 130$1022.6%11.30.75×
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 84$89.563.6%22.00.98×
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 73$81.423.7%12.30.43×
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 128$79.502.1%01.30.00×
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 41$62.305.0%64.21.44×
★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 39$60.565.2%44.40.91×
★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 29$50.595.8%65.91.01×
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 21$43.697.0%148.21.70×
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 17$39.537.7%710.00.70×
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 12$34.669.5%1414.10.99×
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$29.397.8%1213.50.89×
USP-S | Royal Blue (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 26$27.053.5%66.50.92×
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 26$19.812.5%66.50.92×
USP-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$18.622.4%56.50.76×
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 26$16.802.1%76.51.07×
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 26$14.191.8%56.50.76×
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 26$12.641.6%36.50.46×
CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$12.371.6%106.51.53×
MAG-7 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 26$11.111.4%86.51.22×
MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 26$10.581.4%96.51.37×
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 26$7.801.0%76.51.07×
UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 26$6.540.8%66.50.92×
Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$6.330.8%66.50.92×
Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 26$5.660.7%56.50.76×
USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 26$4.690.6%46.50.61×
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 26$3.970.5%106.51.53×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/evelone192/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.38%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
4 Nov, 04:54 UTC$32.9990.38%42
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$32.9993.28%42
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 11.4%covert 6.0%extraordinary 6.2%mil spec 17.0%rare 0.5%restricted 16.4%#ffd700 0.4%epic 0.5%Ancient 8.8%covert knife 2.5%gold 3.4%industrial 7.6%#d32ee6 3.8%uncommon 3.8%#87c7ff 3.8%Mythical 3.8%#8847ff 3.8%best hit —