Price
$32.99
Advertised RTP
90.38%
EV $29.82 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.71%
172 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 172 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/evelone192/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $32.99 | 90.38% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $32.99 | 93.28% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 11.4%covert 6.0%extraordinary 6.2%mil spec 17.0%rare 0.5%restricted 16.4%#ffd700 0.4%epic 0.5%Ancient 8.8%covert knife 2.5%gold 3.4%industrial 7.6%#d32ee6 3.8%uncommon 3.8%#87c7ff 3.8%Mythical 3.8%#8847ff 3.8%best hit —