Farm egg purple

A case on CSGORUN (farmeggs), first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price

$0.33

Advertised RTP

100.63%

EV $0.33 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d

—

no counted openings

Variance

8.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

15.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	—	—	—
7d	—	—	—
30d	—	—	—
All	—	—	—

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Hot / cold
P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 8,000	$39.87	1.5%	—
P250 \| Undertow (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 8,000	$39.81	1.5%	—
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 1,000	$13.29	4.0%	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$13.26	2.0%	—
M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 250	$4.98	6.0%	—
MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 250	$4.98	6.0%	—
MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 50	$1.66	10.0%	—
Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 50	$1.66	10.0%	—
USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 25	$0.67	8.1%	—
Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 17	$0.66	11.9%	—
Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	12.3%	$0.27	10.0%	—
AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 10	$0.26	7.6%	—
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	18.2%	$0.12	6.6%	—
AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	44.9%	$0.11	14.9%	—

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/farm-egg-purple/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkPash0x$0.33$39.87120.8x1d

P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested)weapon · pinklimerence$0.33$39.87120.8x2d

P250 | Undertow (Factory New)weapon · classifiednameless$0.33$39.81120.6x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommondespise you all$0.33$0.110.33x13s

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · UncommonХороший - run$0.33$0.110.33x22s

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · UncommonBLACKKRAYFAN$0.33$0.110.33x31s

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommonджигатрон$0.33$0.110.33x37s

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialРоман Дашко$0.33$0.120.36x2m

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specYunior$0.33$0.270.82x4m

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · UncommonQned$0.33$0.110.33x4m

Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)weapon · violetBarusta$0.33$0.662.00x5m

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · UncommonЭмыч$0.33$0.110.33x6m

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)weapon · UncommonБудешь спрошен$0.33$0.110.33x8m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
6 Nov, 11:37 UTC	$0.33	100.63%	14

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedpink 0.0%classified 0.1%Industrial Grade 0.1%mil spec 16.7%restricted 0.4%violet 8.0%Mil Spec Grade 2.0%Uncommon 54.6%industrial 18.2%