Farm printstream
A case on CSGORUN (farm2026), first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$2.19
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $2.06 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.72%
828 openings, odds method
Variance
31.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,007 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $174 | 42.4% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified | 1 in 12 | $6.53 | 26.8% | 101 | 85.0 | 1.19× |
| M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested)weapon · Classified | 12.4% | $3.66 | 22.1% | 128 | 125.1 | 1.02× |
| M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare | 78.6% | $0.23 | 8.8% | 775 | 791.9 | 0.98× |
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/farm_printstream/show, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 20:46 UTC | $2.19 | 94.00% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.5%Classified 20.9%Rare 78.6%best hit $174 (79.62x)