Fiveseven

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$0.99
Advertised RTP
91.63%
EV $0.91 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.34%
297 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
28.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
85 openings · below min
7 days
95.34%±11.04297 openings
30 days
95.34%±11.04297 openings
since tracking started
95.34%±11.04297 openings
83.5%105.0%126.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h85105.20%±20.6—odds
7d29795.34%±11.0+0.7σodds
30d29795.34%±11.0+0.7σodds
All29795.34%±11.0+0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 339 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,000,000$1960.0%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 500,000$1030.0%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 250,000$64.000.0%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 142,857$44.370.0%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 47,619$31.660.1%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 25,641$26.540.1%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Anodized Gunmetal (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer1 in 8,130$17.490.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 2,611$11.240.5%00.1—
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 1,129$8.540.8%00.3—
Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 743$7.411.1%00.5—
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 232$7.263.5%41.52.73×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 146$4.013.0%22.30.86×
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 94$3.173.7%43.61.11×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 62$2.704.8%25.40.37×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 40$2.015.5%98.41.07×
Five-SeveN | Contractor (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer1 in 26$1.817.6%1712.91.31×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 31$1.706.1%1411.01.27×
Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 14$1.229.5%2423.81.01×
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 13$1.189.7%2225.40.87×
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 12$1.109.8%3127.51.13×
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Factory New)weapon · consumer1 in 14$0.997.8%2524.21.03×
Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 26$0.913.8%1212.80.94×
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.743.1%1212.80.94×
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 26$0.713.0%1512.81.17×
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.582.4%1212.80.94×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.482.0%1012.80.78×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 26$0.431.8%1412.81.09×
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.401.7%1212.80.94×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.381.6%1412.81.09×
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 26$0.351.5%1212.80.94×
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.321.3%1112.80.86×
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.241.0%1212.80.94×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.210.9%1312.81.02×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.200.8%1512.81.17×
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · 11 in 26$0.170.7%1312.81.02×
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 26$0.150.6%812.80.63×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/fiveseven/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.63%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC$0.9991.63%36
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$0.9994.00%36
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 3.8%classified 0.0%mil spec 2.3%industrial 0.1%restricted 16.7%consumer 11.0%Mythical 0.1%#4b69ff 8.0%blue 6.2%Mil Spec Grade 3.3%Uncommon 7.0%Industrial Grade 3.8%milspec 26.4%violet 7.6%Rare 3.8%best hit —