Freecase 8
A case on CSGORUN (freecases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$44.07
Advertised RTP
76.67%
EV $33.79 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/freecase8/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedLoktruee$44.07$8.680.20x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedAniDark$44.07$8.680.20x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $44.07 | 76.67% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $44.07 | 76.21% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 12.4%covert 30.8%classified 34.0%pink 12.8%Legendary 10.0%