Fri 13 hell
A case on CSGORUN (friday13), first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$31.30
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $29.42 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.40%
72 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 72 openings and 21.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 92 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/fri13_hell/show, 13 Nov, 02:22 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 17:28 UTC | $31.30 | 94.00% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 13.3%classified 14.3%Immortal 0.6%Mil Spec Grade 6.8%milspec 4.4%mil spec 20.0%restricted 21.1%violet 3.2%blue 3.2%Legendary 3.2%rare 3.2%uncommon 3.2%Restricted 3.2%best hit —