Fri 13 mirror
A case on CSGORUN (friday13), first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$4.13
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $3.88 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.44%
352 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 581 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/fri13_mirror/show, 12 Nov, 19:57 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 17:28 UTC | $4.13 | 94.00% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 3.2%covert 0.0%mil spec 12.0%restricted 15.7%extraordinary 0.0%red 0.1%gold 0.0%rare 0.3%Legendary 11.4%industrial 0.8%pink 6.3%Restricted 3.7%blue 5.0%Rare 5.2%Industrial Grade 5.9%Mythical 6.6%violet 6.7%Consumer Grade 3.5%light blue 3.4%#8847ff 6.7%#4b69ff 3.1%best hit —