Price
$13.00
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $12.22 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
110.54%
177 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 94.00% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (96.72% – 124.36%, 177 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 292 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/fri13_ouija/show, 12 Nov, 23:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 17:28 UTC | $13.00 | 94.00% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 1.1%Covert 0.0%covert knife 0.7%restricted 8.1%industrial 9.1%red 0.3%Immortal 0.8%pink 5.0%classified 5.5%#8847ff 2.7%blue 3.8%mil spec 16.6%violet 10.0%light blue 4.0%Legendary 4.0%Consumer Grade 4.0%#777777 4.0%Mil Spec 4.0%#4b69ff 4.0%blueLight 4.0%Rare 8.1%best hit —