Fruit
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$29.17
Advertised RTP
93.98%
EV $27.41 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
134.77%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
4.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/fruit/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $29.17 | 93.98% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $29.55 | 92.77% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.55 | 93.38% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.6%legendary 0.0%covert 19.0%contraband 0.0%sunny 0.8%restricted 6.4%covert knife 2.0%#eb4b4b 0.3%Immortal 1.0%Classified 7.5%master 1.4%classified 1.5%Ancient 7.5%red 6.2%#d32ee6 6.4%Legendary 6.4%pink 6.5%Mythical 6.5%violet 6.6%blue 6.6%rare 6.6%best hit —