Fubuki
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.15
Advertised RTP
93.16%
EV $0.14 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.61%
9,195 openings, odds method
Variance
10.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,198 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/fubuki/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.16%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.15 | 93.16% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.15 | 97.64% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%Covert 0.0%Immortal 0.0%#4b69ff 19.6%restricted 0.5%pink 0.0%#d32ce6 0.0%industrial 25.5%classified 0.0%Mythical 0.0%rare 0.0%consumer 4.2%blue 0.1%milspec 1.3%violet 1.2%Rare 13.2%Uncommon 11.8%#5e98d9 13.2%common 5.0%blueLight 4.4%best hit $28.59 (190.6x)