G 3sg 1

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$0.60
Advertised RTP
93.57%
EV $0.56 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.62%
334 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
95.62%±9.74334 openings
30 days
95.62%±9.74334 openings
since tracking started
95.62%±9.74334 openings
69.0%142.3%215.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6142.22%±72.6—odds
7d33495.62%±9.74+0.4σodds
30d33495.62%±9.74+0.4σodds
All33495.62%±9.74+0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 382 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 1,000,000$1370.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 500,000$72.890.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 333,333$46.050.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 111,111$28.840.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon1 in 52,632$21.280.1%00.0—
G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 22,727$14.720.1%00.0—
G3SG1 | New Roots (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 9,434$11.330.2%00.0—
G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 2,985$7.540.4%00.1—
G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer1 in 1,422$6.820.9%00.3—
G3SG1 | Demeter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 676$4.401.2%00.6—
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 301$3.342.0%01.30.00×
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 163$2.582.8%72.32.99×
G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 104$1.983.4%23.70.54×
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 92$1.823.5%24.20.48×
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · 11 in 65$1.323.6%75.91.19×
G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 25$0.876.1%1515.01.00×
G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 23$0.866.5%1916.31.16×
G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 21$0.766.4%2218.21.21×
G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 18$0.757.3%1820.80.86×
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 15$0.718.2%3424.81.37×
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 15$0.698.4%2426.10.92×
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 25$0.594.1%1415.00.93×
G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 12$0.598.8%3931.91.22×
G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 25$0.483.4%1515.01.00×
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$0.473.3%1815.01.20×
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · consumer1 in 25$0.453.2%1615.01.06×
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 25$0.352.5%1215.00.80×
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 25$0.332.3%1115.00.73×
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 25$0.332.3%1415.00.93×
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 25$0.312.2%1015.00.66×
G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 25$0.261.8%1415.00.93×
G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 25$0.251.8%1115.00.73×
G3SG1 | VariCamo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 25$0.151.1%1615.01.06×
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 25$0.141.0%1715.01.13×
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 25$0.100.7%1315.00.86×
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 25$0.060.4%1215.00.80×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/g3sg1/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.57%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC$0.6093.57%36
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$0.6094.00%36
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 1.5%industrial 11.8%Industrial Grade 0.0%classified 0.0%#4b69ff 3.9%other 0.0%blue 12.2%violet 7.9%consumer 4.0%mil spec 5.8%restricted 6.7%milspec 12.6%Mil Spec 6.5%Rare 10.8%Consumer Grade 3.9%Mythical 8.3%#87c7ff 3.9%best hit —