Gammadoppler
A case on CSGORUN (patterns2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$214.99
Advertised RTP
94.71%
EV $203.62 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.80%
33 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
54.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 33 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/gammadoppler/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.71%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $215 | 94.71% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $215 | 94.00% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 53.0%#ffd700 6.8%covert knife 9.5%gold 1.5%#EB4B4B 5.4%sunny 7.2%Covert 4.2%red 8.3%#eb4b4b 4.2%best hit $732 (3.41x)