Garou
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$23.55
Advertised RTP
93.98%
EV $22.13 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.06%
5 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 5 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/garou/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $23.55 | 93.98% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $24.09 | 91.88% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.09 | 92.73% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 12.3%contraband 0.0%legendary 0.0%extraordinary 0.3%restricted 11.6%epic 0.0%Legendary 5.8%Extraordinary 0.1%Ancient 6.7%classified 16.3%red 3.3%mil spec 3.0%#d32ee6 6.5%violet 6.5%consumer 6.2%Mythical 10.6%pink 5.6%uncommon 5.3%best hit —