Genos
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$4.13
Advertised RTP
93.93%
EV $3.88 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.41%
29 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 29 openings and 6.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/genos/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.13 | 93.93% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.13 | 96.36% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%covert knife 0.0%gold 0.0%classified 5.4%sunny 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%rare 0.0%Extraordinary 0.0%red 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.1%mil spec 20.5%restricted 11.2%uncommon 0.3%Mil Spec Grade 7.5%Mythical 12.1%industrial 1.6%other 2.5%#8847ff 17.0%blue 5.9%violet 11.2%milspec 4.6%best hit —