Glock

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$1.49
Advertised RTP
92.33%
EV $1.38 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.35%
245 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
28.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
100.94%±14.94176 openings
7 days
99.35%±12.67245 openings
30 days
99.35%±12.67245 openings
since tracking started
99.35%±12.67245 openings
85.5%101.0%116.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h176100.94%±14.9+1.1σodds
7d24599.35%±12.7+1.1σodds
30d24599.35%±12.7+1.1σodds
All24599.35%±12.7+1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 319 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 500,000$2580.0%00.0—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 333,333$1450.0%00.0—
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare1 in 142,857$1050.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 83,333$84.460.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 26,316$47.210.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 11,236$29.620.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 4,444$23.460.4%00.1—
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 1,751$18.040.7%10.2—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,027$14.101.0%00.3—
Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 419$10.121.8%20.8—
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 221$7.712.5%21.41.39×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 131$5.743.2%22.40.82×
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 84$4.674.0%33.80.79×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 57$3.674.7%25.60.36×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 39$3.025.6%58.10.62×
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 28$2.707.1%1411.61.21×
Glock-18 | Red Tire (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 23$2.487.8%1713.91.23×
Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 18$1.967.9%1717.60.96×
Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 13$1.759.6%2524.01.04×
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 13$1.619.0%2424.50.98×
Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 12$1.609.4%3525.81.36×
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 27$1.173.2%1211.91.01×
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$1.153.1%911.90.76×
Glock-18 | Wraiths (Minimal Wear)weapon · 11 in 27$1.012.7%1211.91.01×
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 27$0.932.5%1411.91.17×
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 27$0.711.9%1011.90.84×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 27$0.691.9%1711.91.43×
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 27$0.661.8%1211.91.01×
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 27$0.491.3%1111.90.92×
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 27$0.451.2%1211.91.01×
Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 27$0.391.1%1611.91.34×
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 27$0.371.0%1111.90.92×
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$0.310.8%811.90.67×
Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon1 in 27$0.310.8%811.90.67×
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 27$0.290.8%711.90.59×
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested)weapon · common1 in 27$0.170.5%1111.90.92×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/glock/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC$1.4992.33%36
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$1.4994.00%36
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 3.7%industrial 0.0%covert 0.0%rare 0.1%violet 7.5%restricted 3.7%mil spec 17.2%Legendary 2.0%pink 0.5%milspec 6.3%Uncommon 8.1%Mythical 16.8%#8847ff 8.1%blue 3.7%Rare 18.7%common 3.7%best hit —