Glove

A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$3.49
Advertised RTP
89.93%
EV $3.14 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.77%
93 openings, sample method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
1 openings · below min
7 days
93 openings · below min
30 days
93 openings · below min
since tracking started
93 openings · below min
-0.5%128.3%257.0%

Small sample. 93 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1100.29%±156.3—odds
7d93101.77%±28.7—sample
30d93101.77%±28.7—sample
All93101.77%±28.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 93 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000,000$5520.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 500,000$3320.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 250,000$2220.0%00.0—
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 250,000$2200.0%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 111,111$1280.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 66,667$1070.1%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 6,452$49.500.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 4,608$42.100.3%10.0—
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,692$31.710.6%00.1—
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 898$23.200.8%00.1—
P2000 | Turf (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 215$14.882.2%00.4—
Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 167$13.332.5%00.6—
MP7 | Cirrus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 116$11.193.1%00.8—
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 65$7.803.8%11.40.70×
M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 57$7.444.2%11.60.61×
USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 33$5.665.5%42.81.41×
MP9 | Sand Scale (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 36$5.655.1%12.60.38×
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 23$4.285.9%44.00.99×
M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 16$4.128.0%85.71.41×
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 17$4.117.7%45.40.74×
MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 16$3.747.2%95.61.60×
P2000 | Turf (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 12$3.509.2%57.70.65×
G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 24$3.354.4%73.91.81×
Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 24$3.344.4%33.90.78×
USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 24$3.324.4%53.91.30×
Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 24$3.284.3%33.90.78×
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 24$3.234.3%63.91.56×
MP7 | Cirrus (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 24$2.583.4%33.90.78×
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 24$1.181.6%33.90.78×
MAG-7 | Sonar (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 24$1.071.4%53.91.30×
MP9 | Sand Scale (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 24$0.931.2%63.91.56×
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 24$0.821.1%33.90.78×
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 24$0.630.8%43.91.04×
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 24$0.620.8%23.90.52×
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 24$0.510.7%23.90.52×
MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 24$0.440.6%33.90.78×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/glove/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.93%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC$3.4989.93%36
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$3.4994.00%36
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.0%covert 0.0%Legendary 0.0%Mythical 6.0%classified 0.1%Rare 31.7%mil spec 12.6%restricted 8.7%#8847ff 6.1%violet 10.0%#4b69ff 20.7%blue 4.1%best hit —