Graffiti
A case on CSGORUN (rarity2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.25
Advertised RTP
99.11%
EV $0.25 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.63%
2,711 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,505 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/graffiti/show, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 99.11%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.25 | 99.11% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.25 | 94.00% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed7 0.3%Graffiti 14.0%base 0.0%Rare 2.6%remarkable 0.0%other 32.9%Common 37.9%Base Grade 7.0%Legendary 0.1%High Grade 1.8%#B0C3D9 3.4%best hit —