Helloworld
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.20
Advertised RTP
91.82%
EV $0.18 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.80%
7,690 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
34.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
59.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 92.22% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (93.04% – 96.56%, 7,690 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,691 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/helloworld/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.20 | 91.82% | 25 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.20 | 92.74% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 0.6%violet 0.7%#8847ff 1.0%industrial 23.8%Rare 3.2%milspec 14.9%Mil Spec 3.5%blue 16.4%#4b69ff 21.3%light blue 6.3%Uncommon 5.9%#777777 2.6%best hit —