Homohomo
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.61
Advertised RTP
93.96%
EV $0.57 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.38%
1,207 openings, odds method
Variance
4.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,207 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/homohomo/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.61 | 93.96% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.62 | 92.45% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.62 | 91.55% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 4.0%covert knife 0.0%covert 0.0%epic 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%rare 0.0%classified 0.0%red 0.0%Mythical 0.0%Ancient 0.0%Mil Spec Grade 0.0%uncommon 5.5%Rare 5.0%Industrial Grade 0.1%pink 0.2%violet 7.4%other 0.7%milspec 10.8%mil spec 21.5%#d32ce6 1.7%Consumer Grade 1.2%#4b69ff 2.2%blue 3.0%restricted 6.7%Uncommon 5.8%Mil Spec 5.7%#b0c3d9 4.3%#5e98d9 10.9%common 3.3%best hit —