Price
$79.03
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $74.29 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
70.88%
27 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 27 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/hunterxhunter/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $79.03 | 94.00% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $81.81 | 90.80% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $81.81 | 91.56% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 1.5%covert 8.8%extraordinary 4.2%epic 0.0%classified 9.5%Immortal 5.9%sunny 5.6%gold 1.4%rare 15.5%red 7.8%Legendary 11.1%uncommon 11.5%Restricted 5.1%pink 8.9%#8847ff 3.3%best hit —