Hydragloves

A case on CSGORUN (gloves2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$40.99
Advertised RTP
90.47%
EV $37.08 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.23%
179 openings, odds method
Variance
0.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
45.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
57 openings · below min
7 days
93.23%±7.59179 openings
30 days
93.23%±7.59179 openings
since tracking started
93.23%±7.59179 openings
78.0%92.0%106.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5791.93%±13.4—odds
7d17993.23%±7.59+0.7σodds
30d17993.23%±7.59+0.7σodds
All17993.23%±7.59+0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 231 openings, 30 days

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/hydragloves/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.47%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC$40.9990.47%12
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$40.9994.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 74.5%Extraordinary 0.5%gold 25.0%best hit —