Inferno 2018
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.68
Advertised RTP
96.72%
EV $0.66 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.13%
346 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 471 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/inferno2018/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 96.72%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.68 | 96.72% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.68 | 94.00% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.2%restricted 4.5%violet 0.0%Common 5.3%Legendary 0.5%#8847ff 0.6%Industrial Grade 0.7%Rare 7.9%blue 6.9%mil spec 26.4%Uncommon 14.0%milspec 4.7%Mil Spec Grade 4.7%Consumer Grade 9.3%industrial 9.3%light blue 4.7%best hit —