Jason c
A case on CSGORUN (gta2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$19.99
Advertised RTP
94.05%
EV $18.80 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.47%
307 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
52.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 364 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/jason_c/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 15:30 UTC | $19.99 | 94.05% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $19.99 | 94.00% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%classified 39.9%restricted 4.0%rare 0.0%mil spec 17.6%covert 2.1%Ancient 5.9%Classified 4.6%uncommon 10.2%#8847ff 3.3%Mythical 6.6%Legendary 3.3%pink 2.3%best hit —