Price
$1.01
Advertised RTP
93.75%
EV $0.95 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.98%
1,262 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,264 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/kanyewest/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.75%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.01 | 93.75% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.07 | 88.49% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.07 | 90.34% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 4.3%gold 0.0%covert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%mil spec 24.9%Extraordinary 0.0%#8847ff 0.0%red 0.0%Heavy 0.0%restricted 4.2%pink 0.0%industrial 3.4%other 0.4%Rare 12.5%Mil Spec Grade 5.7%blue 18.3%Uncommon 2.7%violet 6.8%#4b69ff 8.7%#5E98D9 4.0%milspec 4.0%best hit —