Katowice legacy
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$4.40
Advertised RTP
93.85%
EV $4.13 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.23%
291 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 309 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/katowice_legacy/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $4.40 | 93.85% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.46 | 92.59% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.46 | 92.35% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 0.0%sunny 0.0%covert 0.2%gold 0.1%covert knife 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%classified 6.0%restricted 15.0%Mythical 0.9%Uncommon 1.4%pink 9.2%mil spec 13.4%#d32ee6 7.1%industrial 3.4%Legendary 4.1%consumer 4.4%#4b69ff 12.9%blue 13.0%#8847ff 4.3%#b0c3d9 4.1%best hit —