Kilowatt
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$3.99
Advertised RTP
90.81%
EV $3.62 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.21%
136 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 208 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/kilowatt/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.81%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $3.99 | 90.81% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $3.99 | 94.00% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%Immortal 0.1%Covert 0.0%red 0.5%covert knife 0.2%gold 0.1%Ancient 0.2%pink 7.1%Classified 7.8%Legendary 17.3%classified 16.9%violet 26.0%#8847ff 7.0%restricted 10.0%Rare 3.6%milspec 3.2%best hit —