Kukri
A case on CSGORUN (knives2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$65.99
Advertised RTP
91.72%
EV $60.52 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
114.79%
7 openings, odds method
Variance
0.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
38.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 7 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/kukri/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.72%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $65.99 | 91.72% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $65.99 | 94.00% | 29 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 18.3%Immortal 8.6%covert knife 51.3%gold 12.6%Covert 3.0%#ffd700 6.2%best hit —