Price
$24.99
Advertised RTP
92.82%
EV $23.20 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.91%
222 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 222 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/megarushh/show, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $24.99 | 92.82% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.99 | 93.92% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 10.1%extraordinary 0.0%restricted 13.8%epic 0.1%classified 4.7%Immortal 2.6%covert knife 11.1%Covert 4.5%gold 4.0%mil spec 7.9%Restricted 4.6%industrial 4.6%Industrial Grade 4.6%#d32ce6 4.6%#87c7ff 4.6%pink 4.6%#d32ee6 4.6%Legendary 4.6%blue 4.6%best hit —