Mp 7
A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.49
Advertised RTP
91.51%
EV $1.36 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.45%
38 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 38 openings and 10.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 72 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/mp7/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.51%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.49 | 91.51% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.49 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 1.9%mil spec 14.8%#4b69ff 3.7%covert 0.0%industrial 11.6%rare 0.0%SMGs 3.8%Legendary 0.1%restricted 9.0%consumer 0.4%Mythical 4.9%gray 4.5%Consumer Grade 7.3%violet 12.0%#87c7ff 7.4%Common 3.7%blue 3.7%Rare 7.4%#5e98d9 3.7%best hit —