Price
$2.89
Advertised RTP
94.87%
EV $2.74 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.39%
1,610 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
52.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,610 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/murzofixx/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.89 | 94.87% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.89 | 94.86% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%red 0.0%restricted 3.0%classified 0.1%Restricted 0.1%mil spec 21.4%#87c7ff 0.6%pink 6.4%#d32ee6 0.8%#8847ff 4.2%Mil Spec Grade 1.6%Legendary 2.4%Uncommon 7.4%Rare 11.3%industrial 14.1%violet 8.8%Mythical 2.9%milspec 8.8%#4b69ff 2.9%blue 2.9%best hit —