Navi ewc
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.58
Advertised RTP
93.42%
EV $1.48 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.15%
815 openings, odds method
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 815 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/navi_ewc/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.42%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.58 | 93.42% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.60 | 92.25% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.60 | 93.14% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%Immortal 0.0%classified 6.2%#eb4b4b 0.0%#d32ce6 2.6%pink 2.6%#d32ee6 2.9%uncommon 1.3%Mythical 4.5%mil spec 7.9%violet 8.1%milspec 8.3%restricted 17.8%Restricted 8.7%#4b69ff 18.8%blueLight 10.3%best hit —