Overpass 2024
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$4.49
Advertised RTP
94.24%
EV $4.23 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.78%
20 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 20 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/overpass2024/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.24%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $4.49 | 94.24% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $4.49 | 94.00% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%Ancient 0.0%rare 2.8%pink 1.4%#d32ce6 3.7%uncommon 26.8%Mythical 11.9%restricted 5.9%Rare 5.9%violet 11.9%milspec 11.9%blueLight 5.9%blue 5.9%#5e98d9 5.9%best hit —