P 250
A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.78
Advertised RTP
91.87%
EV $0.72 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.53%
225 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
59.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 265 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/p250/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.78 | 91.87% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.78 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%pink 0.0%mil spec 9.3%#8847ff 0.8%classified 1.7%industrial 0.5%Mil Spec Grade 0.1%#d32ee6 0.1%restricted 7.6%Legendary 3.4%Rare 11.9%Mythical 6.7%consumer 6.5%milspec 15.8%blue 15.8%#4b69ff 3.9%Restricted 3.9%Consumer Grade 3.9%#5e98d9 7.9%best hit —