P 90
A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.99
Advertised RTP
93.09%
EV $0.92 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
105.85%
498 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 93.09% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (96.29% – 115.40%, 498 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 524 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/p90/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.09%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.99 | 93.09% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.99 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedindustrial 0.0%covert 0.0%classified 0.1%Legendary 0.0%Common 4.9%violet 14.4%uncommon 3.8%restricted 6.3%mil spec 11.4%#8847ff 6.3%blue 10.4%Rare 11.8%Uncommon 7.6%Consumer Grade 7.6%gray 7.6%milspec 3.8%#4b69ff 3.8%best hit —