Perchcase
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$124.55
Advertised RTP
93.99%
EV $117.07 from 76 items
Observed RTP, 30d
60.26%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values76 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/perchcase/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.99%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $125 | 93.99% | 76 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $127 | 92.06% | 76 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $127 | 92.96% | 76 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%legendary 0.8%extraordinary 79.4%sunny 4.2%rare 1.1%Extraordinary 2.6%Immortal 11.8%best hit —