Pink
A case on CSGORUN (palette2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$14.99
Advertised RTP
91.83%
EV $13.76 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.22%
106 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
51.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 195 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/pink/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.83%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $14.99 | 91.83% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $14.99 | 94.00% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%covert 0.0%sunny 0.0%Covert 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%rare 0.4%classified 31.6%uncommon 9.9%Ancient 1.2%restricted 13.9%Legendary 10.2%#d32ee6 8.3%Mythical 9.1%pink 6.1%#8847ff 3.0%#4b69ff 3.0%blue 3.0%best hit —