Price
$396.73
Advertised RTP
89.71%
EV $355.89 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.54%
79 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 79 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 79 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/platinum/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.71%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $397 | 89.71% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $397 | 90.72% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 0.0%extraordinary 6.4%covert 11.4%epic 13.0%classified 12.9%covert knife 13.0%gold 3.3%Immortal 10.2%rare 16.1%Extraordinary 7.6%pink 5.9%best hit $1,814 (4.57x)