Prisma 2
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$3.99
Advertised RTP
93.21%
EV $3.72 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.74%
87 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
59.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 87 openings and 23.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 120 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/prisma2/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.21%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $3.99 | 93.21% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $3.99 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 4.0%covert 0.0%gold 0.0%classified 16.8%restricted 26.2%#d32ee6 7.1%Legendary 7.1%#4b69ff 11.1%mil spec 4.0%violet 4.0%Mythical 11.8%#8847ff 4.0%Rare 4.0%best hit —