Pumpkin
A case on CSGORUN (halloween2026), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
91.81%
EV $9.18 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.37%
1,321 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,321 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/pumpkin/show, 8 Nov, 19:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.81%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $10.00 | 91.81% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.00 | 92.75% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.8%epic 0.0%classified 5.8%Immortal 0.1%extraordinary 0.2%gold 0.6%Mil Spec Grade 3.5%restricted 9.2%Restricted 1.3%mil spec 11.3%violet 4.1%industrial 7.9%Uncommon 4.1%Rare 10.4%milspec 5.2%Common 4.9%consumer 14.0%#4b69ff 11.8%Consumer Grade 3.6%gray 1.3%best hit —