Revolution
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$2.49
Advertised RTP
93.43%
EV $2.33 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.72%
383 openings, sample method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 383 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 383 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/revolution/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.43%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $2.49 | 93.43% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $2.49 | 94.00% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.2%Extraordinary 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%gold 0.1%Ancient 0.1%covert 0.1%classified 0.8%pink 30.4%Classified 3.7%#8847ff 16.2%restricted 5.4%Mythical 16.2%violet 10.8%milspec 10.8%Rare 5.4%best hit —