Runbet
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$3.76
Advertised RTP
93.93%
EV $3.53 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.32%
285 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 285 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/runbet/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $3.76 | 93.93% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.84 | 91.97% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.84 | 93.63% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 6.5%covert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%covert knife 0.0%restricted 7.7%#eb4b4b 0.0%Immortal 0.0%rare 0.0%gold 0.0%Ancient 0.5%#d32ce6 1.2%Legendary 11.5%#d32ee6 5.7%pink 26.0%#8847ff 9.2%Mythical 15.8%violet 11.6%#4b69ff 4.3%best hit —