Safehouse
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.20
Advertised RTP
88.01%
EV $0.18 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.53%
1,276 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,376 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/safehouse/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.20 | 88.01% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.20 | 94.00% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 4.4%2 12.7%restricted 3.1%Industrial Grade 0.0%industrial 30.7%#87c7ff 4.4%#4b69ff 1.3%mil spec 14.0%consumer 8.2%SMGs 1.5%Consumer Grade 6.6%Uncommon 8.8%Common 4.4%best hit —