Scar 20
A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.40
Advertised RTP
90.35%
EV $0.36 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.35%
169 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
59.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 245 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/scar20/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.35%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.40 | 90.35% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.40 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 3.9%Uncommon 0.0%classified 0.0%mil spec 15.9%#4b69ff 6.5%pink 0.0%Common 4.1%consumer 10.9%milspec 5.6%#777777 0.7%restricted 1.7%blue 36.5%Rare 10.1%light blue 3.9%best hit —